Machinery industry: continue to increase the number of machine tools and construction machinery is still the main force (3)

(3) CNC machine tools

1) Profit from January to November 2007 increased by 52.8% year-on-year. From January to November, the total profit of machine tools and tools industry reached 14.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.8%. According to the statistical monthly report of the key parts of the machine tool industry, the profit growth of the machine tool accessories industry was the highest with a year-on-year increase of 166.7%, and the profit of the gold cutting machine tool industry increased by 65.5%.

The sales rate of industrial products was 97.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. Except for the product sales rate of machine tools and electrical appliances decreased by 0.5% year-on-year, other small industries showed an increase.

2) In 2007, the sales value of machine tools reached 11.19 billion US dollars. In 2007, China's machine tool sales value reached 11.19 billion US dollars, imports 0.77 billion US dollars; exports 1.65 billion US dollars; consumption 16.61 billion US dollars, domestic market share 57.4%. For the sixth consecutive year, we will become the world's largest consumer of machine tools and the largest importer.

(4) Construction machinery money-carrying: hammering black horse breeds

1) American Machinery Manufacturers Association is still optimistic about the North American construction machinery market. The annual forecast report released by the American Machinery Manufacturers Association said that the sales of construction machinery in the US and Canada market remained at the previous year in 2007; on this basis, 2008 The annual sales volume will rebound further, and the rapid growth of sales momentum will continue. It is expected that the demand for construction machinery in the United States, Canada and the world will increase in 2008, with the world market growing fastest, and the growth rates of the three will reach 2.8%, 2.9% and 8% respectively.

2) The price increase of construction machinery products affected by the price increase of iron ore. Since the raw materials containing iron components account for about 50% of the cost of raw materials of enterprises, the price increase of construction machinery products is bound to increase when steel prices rise sharply. Row. Xiagong shares revealed: "In January this year, the mainstream products of the industry have begun to raise prices." For example, the price increase of more than 200,000 yuan in the loader is about 3,000 yuan to 5,000 yuan. The above-mentioned person of Xiagong shares said that due to fierce market competition, the current price increase is relatively small, "but the possibility of future price increases still exists."

(5) Power equipment

1) National Grid Investment Plan Confirmed In February, State Grid and China Southern Power Grid Corporation announced their investment plans for 2008. The State Grid will continue to build UHV AC projects, DC projects and 750 kV and 500 kV grids. Focus, the grid investment is expected to be 253.2 billion yuan. China Southern Power Grid Corporation plans to complete fixed assets investment of 58.6 billion yuan, of which power grid construction investment is 44.88 billion yuan. If we add 39 billion yuan for disaster recovery, reconstruction and reconstruction after the snowstorm in January, the total investment in the grid will reach 337.1 billion yuan, which is 37.5% higher than that of 2007. The growth rate is higher than that of 2007. More than doubled.

(6) Other sub-sectors

1) 2007 instrument production and sales double broken 300 billion According to statistics, in 2007 the total output value of the instrumentation industry reached 307.8 billion yuan, an increase of 28.5%; sales revenue reached 30 billion yuan, an increase of 29%. In 2007, the export delivery value of China's instrumentation industry increased by 39.2% year-on-year, and the export value exceeded one quarter of the total output value.

Second, key listed company information and major event reviews

1) TBEA's net profit increased by 1.3 times in 2007. On February 21, 2008, TBEA announced the 2007 annual report, achieving operating income of 8.931 billion yuan, YOY increased by 45.4%, net profit of 539 million, YOY growth of 134.3%, diluted each Stock income was 0.63 yuan / share. After deducting non-recurring gains and losses, the net profit was 410 million, YOY increased by 1.19 times, and diluted earnings per share was 0.48 yuan/share.

Comments: We believe that the current TBEA hand-held orders have exceeded 10 billion yuan, basically equivalent to the company's sales plan in 2008. At the same time, the investment plans of State Grid and China Southern Power Grid in 2008 reached RMB 288.1 billion. If the recovery and reconstruction funds needed for reconstruction after the snowstorm in January and February are added, the total investment will reach 337.1 billion, compared with the 2007 national grid investment. The growth rate is 37.5%, and the growth rate is more than double that of 2007. Therefore, the market environment of TBEA in 2008 will be better than that of 2007. We believe that as a leading company in the power transmission and transformation industry, TBEA's orders in 2008 should be better than in 2007, which will bring a solid guarantee for the growth in 2008 and 2009. It is expected that the diluted EPS of the company in 2008-10 will reach 0.69, 0.9 and 0.98 yuan/share respectively, corresponding to 36.8 times of PE in 2009, giving a “Cautious Buy” rating.

2) Liyuan Hydraulics' net profit in 2007 was 108 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.14%. On February 27, 2007, Liyuan Hydraulics announced its 2007 annual report, achieving an operating income of 1.427 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.3%, achieving a net attributable to the parent company. The profit was 108 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.14%, and the diluted earnings per share was 0.64 yuan/share.

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