According to Guangzhou Customs statistics, in 2009, Guangdong exported 376,000 tons of aluminum, which was 36.2% lower than the same period in 2008; value was US$1.1 billion, a decrease of 42%. Since the second half of 2008, the monthly export volume has basically followed a V-shaped pattern. In March 2009, it resumed its slow recovery. From the second half of the year, year-on-year declines narrowed from month to month. After the first 18.2% year-on-year increase in November, the rate of increase further expanded in December. 42,000 tons of exports, a substantial increase of 50.5%.
According to reports, the distribution pattern of Guangdong's aluminum export market has changed significantly, and its exports to Africa have grown substantially. Africa has become the largest export market, followed by the European Union, the Middle East, ASEAN, and Hong Kong.
The product structure has also undergone significant changes. Due to the upward adjustment of export tax rebates, aluminum profiles and aluminum foil have risen against the trend. In April and June of 2009, China successively increased the export tax rebate rate for aluminum extrusions and aluminum foil. Affected by this, the export volume of both commodities showed a trend of contrarian growth. At the same time, exports of aluminum plates, sheets and strips (abbreviated as aluminum strips, the same below) and aluminum pipes decreased.
Foshan is still an important export base for aluminum materials, and mountainous cities such as Qingyuan and Zhaoqing are showing good growth. In 2009, Foshan exported 218,000 tons of aluminum, while Qingyuan and Zhaoqing exported 17,000 tons and 15,000 tons respectively.
Customs officials reminded that aluminum stocks are currently at a high level, and the weak demand in the international aluminum market will continue for some time. With the increase in international aluminum prices and the recovery in demand, domestic and foreign aluminum smelting companies have resumed production, which has led to a rapid increase in global aluminum production. However, current aluminum downstream consumption is not as optimistic as expected, and primary aluminum production is growing faster than physical demand. Recovery, the latter aluminum stocks may rise further.
From the global reportable inventory, it can be seen that the aluminum stocks of the London Metal Exchange remain close to a high of 4.6 million tons. The data also shows that although exports of aluminum have picked up this year, they are still low compared to the first half of last year.
The market price of plate has loosened. According to the market monitoring of Lange Steel Information Research Center, the mainstream price of medium and small households of Puyang and Wenfeng producing 14-25mm medium plates is 3,900-3,920 yuan (t price, the same below); the mainstream quotation of 20mm medium plate produced by Baogang Steel is 3,930 yuan. The price of 10mm medium plate produced by Jigang is 4,130 yuan, and the low alloy is increased by 150-200 yuan on the basis of the common plate. It is expected that in the short term, the local plate market prices will mostly be dominated by weak consolidation.
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