After the National Day, with the sudden drop in temperature, the hot coal market has also shown a cooling trend. The latest issue of the Bohai Sea thermal coal price index closed at 585 yuan / ton, down 1 yuan / ton. On October 9, the China Coal Transportation and Marketing Association issued a document stating that after the end of September, the trading enthusiasm of the thermal coal market in the Bohai Rim region showed signs of cooling. The influencing factors include the coal production enterprises such as Shenhua Group and China Coal Group announced the reduction of coal sales prices before the National Day, which played a positive role in stabilizing the price of spot thermal coal. Analyst Qi Bo said that since September, the policy of maintaining the price stability has gradually become clear. While strengthening the orderly release of production capacity and guiding the return of prices, actively coordinate the logistics transportation and supply and demand docking. The market panic has eased and the market price trend has stabilized. On September 28th, Shenhua and China Coal took the lead in announcing the reduction of coal price of 10 yuan/ton in the northern port market. After that, local key coal enterprises represented by Tongmei, Yangmei, Chun'an and Jinmei Group also followed closely down on coal prices. Qi Bo pointed out that many coal enterprises in the main producing areas have followed up on price cuts, and the phenomenon of traders' shipments has increased. This has played a positive role in balancing the supply of thermal coal and stabilizing market trends. It is worth noting that September was the off-season of coal consumption, but coal prices continued to rise, leading to increasing regulatory expectations. On September 21, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in Coal-Electricity Oil and Gas Transportation Guarantee", emphasizing the need to accelerate the release of high-quality coal production capacity. Liu Jie, a researcher at CITIC Futures, said that in fact, there are not many stocks available for sale in major coal companies. The price cut is mainly due to the attitude of coal enterprises to stabilize prices, and the Notice of the National Development and Reform Commission on "Safening Oil and Gas Transportation" Response. The stable coal price will be the main tone before and after the “Nineteenth National Congressâ€, and the spot price is difficult to have large fluctuations. However, in the context of low stocks in the downstream, the Daqin line maintenance and winter storage are superimposed, and the spot price is still dominated. According to the monitoring data, as of 6:00 am on October 11, the Qinang coal field exceeded 7 million tons, reaching 7.26 million tons, a new high since January 5 this year, nearly 700,000 tons higher than the daily average before the National Day holiday. . Since February 2017, the coal inventory of Qinhuangdao Port has remained below 6 million tons. On September 27, the coal inventory of Qinhuangdao Port exceeded 6 million tons, and it remained above 6 million tons for 13 consecutive days. At present, the amount of coal in the port is sufficient, which plays an important role in curbing the recent rapid increase in coal prices. Relevant persons believe that the current major domestic coal consumption enterprises are still mainly based on the cashing of Changxie coal, and the winter storage purchase has not yet reached a climax. The increase of Qinang's field deposits will have a positive stabilizing effect on the coal market with tight supply and demand. It also has a certain guiding effect on the stale coal price. China Coal Transportation and Marketing Association also said that the domestic spot thermal coal price trend and its price level in September have exceeded market expectations, reducing the market's desire for coal prices to continue to rise. During the two-day period, thermal power production and its coal consumption will decline. The low coal inventory of power generation enterprises is expected to be repaired, and the enthusiasm for coal procurement will also cool down. Some coal industry analysts told the "Securities Daily" reporter that the regulation and control of the relevant departments of the National Development and Reform Commission began to play a role, coal prices will be stable in the short term, there will be no significant price cuts.
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